How to Work the “Cycle” and Come Out Ahead

Written by Jason Simpkins
Posted June 14, 2019

One of the very first lessons I learned in investing was about “cycles.”

Commodity cycles, to be precise.

This was all the way back in 2008. I was in my 20s and had just started writing financial newsletters when the economy started to collapse.

It was a scary time, but that also meant there were plenty of bargains to be had for shrewd investors. One was oil, which fell to $30 per barrel that December — just six months removed from hitting an all-time high of $145 in July.

I knew that was too low for such an important commodity, so I bought in.

Over the next few years, oil prices bounced back, climbing back over $100 per barrel in 2012.

So what did I do?

I sent out a letter to readers telling them to short it. Now, in fairness, I was a little early. This was 2012, and oil prices didn’t fall back down until 2014. But I never told anyone they’d make their gains overnight.

I was just playing the cycle.

By that time, I was working here at The Outsider Club. And as oil prices bottomed out in 2015, I wrote to subscribers of this very letter, telling them to buy back in.

“Even if it takes until 2018 or later, I'm prepared to wait. That's because once the market stabilizes, oil will return to $60-$80 a barrel in short order,” I wrote. “A 50%-100% return over three years is a win in my book."

Oil was trading at $39 at the time I wrote that. And, as it happens, oil prices climbed all the way back up to $74 in 2018. It was a 90% return, just as I predicted.

Does this make me a genius market prognosticator?

Absolutely not.

Again, I was just playing the cycle.

It’s a well-worn, time-tested cliché: “Buy low, sell high.”

Everyone says they want to do it, but then they go chasing after the trendy, overpriced, sensational play.

Well, if that’s the way you want to do it, fine.

But if you want to do things the right way, then here’s where you should be looking right now…


Like me, Outsider Club Founder and President Nick Hodge is a fan of cyclical investing. He knows what a major growth opportunity looks like, and he knows when to pull the ripcord and lock in gains.

He was one of the very first analysts to get ahead of the Bitcoin trend, recommending the cryptocurrency to readers back in December 2013.

Four years later, he recognized that it’d been over-hyped and overbought — a bubble if there ever was one. So he got readers out at the very top.

Nick Hodge Bitcoin Buy Call Crypto66

It was a heck of a ride. But Nick knew it’d come to an end.

But like oil, Bitcoin was destined to bounce back. And now, after falling out of favor in the mainstream, it’s time to buy in once again.

In fact, it’s poised to shoot over $10,000.

Of course, you’re not going to make very much money if you wait until it’s $8,000 again before you buy.

You have to do better than that.

And Nick can help you.

That’s because he’s found a way to buy Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies at an unbelievable discount.

It’s an opportunity called “Crypto66,” and he’s out in Sweden taking a firsthand look right now.

When he gets back, he’ll release a full report on his findings to let you know how to cash in.

All you have to do to get updates, and the full report as soon as it’s available, is click here.

That report will reveal all the secrets of Crypto66 and why Nick thinks it could turn every $10,000 invested into $230,000.

And don’t worry, it’s free.

Just click here to get on board.

This is a cycle you don’t want to miss.

Fight on,

Jason Simpkins Signature

Jason Simpkins

follow basic@OCSimpkins on Twitter

Jason Simpkins is Assistant Managing Editor of the Outsider Club and Investment Director of The Wealth Warrior, a financial advisory focused on security companies and defense contractors. For more on Jason, check out his editor's page. 

*Follow Outsider Club on Facebook and Twitter.

Heal Your Ailing Portfolio Body